The Rasmussen Report is generally well respected. When you are dealing with pure candidate preference it gets even easier to accept poll results. It's more complicated when it involves policy preferences or evaluations of performance.
This one is simple. The population is "likely GOP primary election voters". That means the folks who will actually get off their butt and support the candidate for the nomination of the party. No nuances of questions. Simply "who's your choice?"
A Commanding Lead in 72 Hours
It is a long time until actual votes are cast that mean something. But this indicates that there is someone bringing some excitement to the race and who might have the potential to break away from the pack. The benefit of that is if we avoid a long drawn-out primary season with self-destruction among the potential candidates, we save money and energy for the most important task of taking the nation back for Americans.
6 comments:
The Obamabots have geared up to attack Romney. I hope that stay focused on him while Perry spanks them.
As in warfare
"First reports are usually wrong"
And while I detest Karl Rove his political acumen is probaly among the top 5 peoplein a country of 300M and he says Perry is unelectable
Finally you might want to google the 14 point memo on Perry
My guess Perry will be the Huckabee for 2012 election
~leadfoot
Leadfoot, the 14 point memo is much ado about very little, most of it water long over the dam and most of it constructed of innuendo rather than whole cloth. Just a few points:
"support of an anti-cancer vaccine"...let me see. You've got a vaccine which protects against cervical cancer for sexually active women. Why wouldn't you want to get max usage? Well, because if you vaccinate 14 year old girls you must be tacitly approving of them having sex for the next seven years and that wouldn't be "abstinence based." Better not to do it and see if they die for their sins.
Or the great "super-highway land grab" known as the Trans-Texas Corridor. How about a proposal for a dedicated high-speed rail, truck route and passenger vehicle only throughway from the Mexican border to Oklahoma. Seven hundred miles of unrestricted commerce. But in the planning stage the unspecified right-of-way look like it will condemn a 40 mile wide swath through the state. In fact, once defined, the route would have been less than 300 yards wide. But that didn't stop the outrage.
And "the Bilderberg Group"? Give me a break.
Sorry, leadership requires risk and innovation. Sometimes that will be welcomed and some times you won't muster the necessary consensus. But I'll take that over "I'll be coming up with a plan soon..." or "I'm appointing a committee which will diddle for eight months and then I'll ignore their report..."
According to what I've read the vaccine was to be given to 9 year old girls unless the parents opted out. This feels too much like big brother to me. And how about Perry's reported connection to Merck through his mother in law...and his threat to use eminent domain in the corridor dust up?
Ant truth to these points?
Bongo, the inoculation age for the vaccine ideally was pre-pubescent so that protection would be established prior to intercourse. Whether that was medically indicated or not is beside the political point. It was a proposal the backlash was loud and immediate, the Governor recanted.
The TTC (Trans-TX Corridor) was a super-Interstate. All such projects employ eminent domain proceedings or you don't get to pave in a straight line. The proposal was abandoned about eight years ago. Economically it would have been a commerce generator. It would have cut through a lot of land, but the exaggeration of "sixty miles wide swath" was corrosive. It allowed everyone to be threatened and therefore built a huge opposition.
We built a national Interstate highway system through eminent domain. It's the only way it could be done.
Connections between senior elected officials and corporate interests are inevitable. If you apply the Kevin Bacon "Six Degrees" principle there's no way to escape them.
If a candidate has any business background or private sector achievements you are going to be able to find links.
Points taken.
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